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Signals I’m Watching

Dror Poleg@drorpoleg · Oct 6, 2026

May I speak to a human please? “call center employment is 5.3% below its December 2023 peak… Major operators are already pursuing AI-driven efficiency.”

Quoting Revelio Labs @RevelioLabs: a report on call center employment and AI-driven efficiency

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Dror Poleg@drorpoleg · Oct 6, 2026

Europe is going all in on defense tech. From less than 1% of EU venture funding in 2022 to 15% today.

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Dror PolegEssay

The Problem with Cities

"The relationship between economic activity and office demand has changed forever." My latest piece for The Atlantic explores the broken relationship between…

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Dror Poleg@drorpoleg · Oct 6, 2026

What can retail employment tell us about office employment? Since 2019, warehouse jobs are up 50% while retail jobs are flat. Data centers and offices may follow a similar path, with two differences: data centers need far fewer people than warehouses, and office jobs will likely decline rather than just stay flat.

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Past Predictions

2023· May 26

“Can [Nvidia] be worth five trillion in five years? I think it has a decent shot.”
Markets·Podcast

2020· Jul 17

“Have you been following the evolution of AI and GPT-3?... So many things will change over the next few years!”
AI·Twitter / X

2023· Mar 27

“Tech skills will continue to be in high demand. But tech jobs will become less safe... When everyone can build software, many average or less creative programmers will suddenly face intense competition.”
Work·Essay

2019

“Technological innovation might lead to dramatic growth in economic activity and corporate profits while simultaneously reducing overall demand for office space.”
Real estate·Book

2020· Mar 3

“America is in complete denial about #Covid_19... expect more bad news to come once we catch up to reality.”
Society·Twitter / X

2020· Jul 3

“Buildings in many traditional employment districts will have to compete more fiercely and many of them will ultimately have to be repurposed.”
Cities·Essay

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